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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+11.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+6.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+7.63vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+2.64vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+2.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01+2.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.47vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-2.11vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+1.60vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60+0.11vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-1.13vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.36-5.37vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.77-4.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.32-2.89vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.47-8.62vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.50-5.43vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.32-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.63George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.32Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.11College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.63Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.11University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 19.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Emily Doble | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.