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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+10.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+6.15vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+4.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.45vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+1.94vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.31+2.02vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.38+0.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.73+2.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75-2.87vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.77+0.57vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.01-1.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.13-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-2.98vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.22-2.49vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.50-4.48vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.32-4.68vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.36-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.16College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.67Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.57Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.38Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.51George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.52Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 17.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 15.9% |
| Emily Doble | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.