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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.76+6.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.62vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+2.64vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.83+2.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.79+4.78vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.61-2.95vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.54+0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-2.66vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-0.75vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.29-2.91vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-2.08vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.03vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.68-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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7.7Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.27Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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5.05College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| Allison Blecher | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 39.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.