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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.60vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.44+2.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.10+0.49vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.72-1.43vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.80-0.71vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.26vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.79-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Rhode Island1.3330.4%1st Place
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2.81Salve Regina University0.4625.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Vermont-0.445.5%1st Place
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4.49Boston University0.109.3%1st Place
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3.57Bates College0.7216.7%1st Place
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5.7Fairfield University-0.434.7%1st Place
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6.29University of Connecticut-0.803.4%1st Place
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7.74Middlebury College-1.681.5%1st Place
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6.28Salve Regina University-0.793.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 30.4% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 25.2% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 5.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.7% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 16.1% |
| Robin Potter | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 52.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.