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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+7.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+7.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+5.19vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+5.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+4.29vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+5.55vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.36-0.33vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-1.18vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.38-2.07vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.47-3.52vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.31-3.64vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.56-6.16vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.32-2.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-3.65vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.73-5.44vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.50-5.48vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.41-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.19Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.86College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.29Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.55George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.82Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.93Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.85University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.52Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 17.3% |
| Emily Doble | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Harned | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.