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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+6.96vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+8.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+2.19vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.47+2.28vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56+0.95vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+5.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-0.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73+1.48vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.19vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.38-3.22vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.01-2.37vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.77-2.86vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-2.91vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.36-7.32vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.60-4.99vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.41-5.08vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.32-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.51George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.48Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.78Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.63Brown University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.01College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.96University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 17.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Emily Doble | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.