← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.22+11.45vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.77+8.32vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.31+5.17vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.32+3.68vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.38+2.51vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.37+1.61vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.56-0.18vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.13+0.52vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.75-2.95vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.60+1.06vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.52+0.30vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.02vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.73-2.86vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida1.32-2.29vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.64vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.47-8.76vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University0.74-2.85vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.01-9.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.45George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.32Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.17Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.68Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.51Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.61Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
6.82Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.52Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.05Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
11.06College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
-
11.3Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
12.02University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
10.14Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.71University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
-
7.24Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
14.15Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
8.9Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 31.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.