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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+5.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.77+8.38vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+4.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+2.79vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+7.20vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+2.63vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.47+0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.73+2.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.37-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.74+3.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.31-3.85vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.32-5.32vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.01-5.19vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.32-3.97vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.60-6.04vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.38Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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7.74Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.2George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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14.05Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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10.96College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 31.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.