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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.11vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+5.04vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+4.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+8.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+1.63vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38+1.66vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+1.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+2.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+2.17vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.37-2.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.75-4.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-1.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.63vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-0.32vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.77-1.11vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.27vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.60-5.98vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.31-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.04Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.22George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.06Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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13.68Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.89University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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11.02College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 24.5% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 25.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.