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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37+4.87vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+7.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.31+2.91vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38+1.61vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.63-0.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-1.13vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-2.20vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22+2.60vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-2.19vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.60-0.82vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.71vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.77-4.89vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.77-1.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.73-6.48vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.74-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.61Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.6George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.18College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.11Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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14.03University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.89Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 26.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.