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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.37+7.02vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+5.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.41vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+6.95vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56+1.07vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.77+3.28vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+4.37vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13-0.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.31-2.79vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-3.63vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.60-2.18vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.63-7.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-3.76vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.14vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.74-2.72vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.73-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.07Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.41Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.62Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.95University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.37George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.37Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.82College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.24Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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14.28Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.7% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 32.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.