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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+11.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+9.25vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+7.52vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+2.98vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+3.65vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.78vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.58-1.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.31-1.00vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.38-2.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-4.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-1.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.60vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.75-7.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-3.79vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.74-1.79vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-8.86vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.32-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.58George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.25College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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10.52Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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7.94Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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14.21Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 32.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.