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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+10.51vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+10.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37+4.99vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+8.37vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56+1.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-0.78vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+2.25vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-2.16vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.31-1.77vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.23vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.32-1.02vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.73-3.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.01-5.84vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.50-4.47vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.13-8.00vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.60-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.51Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.37George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.65Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.98University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.16Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.53Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.82College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 14.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.