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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.18vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.40vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+8.24vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+3.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+1.96vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+6.57vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-0.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13+0.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73+1.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50+1.64vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.32+1.26vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-2.09vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-1.78vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.50vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.01-5.76vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.37-8.16vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.77-6.52vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.31-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.24College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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7.63Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.57George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.64Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 17.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.