← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.32+7.33vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.13+7.13vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.22+9.91vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.52+7.37vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.38+2.79vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.75+0.39vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.77+3.38vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.56-0.94vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.50+2.61vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.63-2.91vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.31-2.71vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.73-1.02vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston1.60-1.96vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.54vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.36-7.12vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.32-3.65vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.92vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University2.58-11.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.33Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.13Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
-
12.91George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.37Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.79Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.39Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.38Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.06Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.61Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.09Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.29Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
10.98Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.04College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
-
7.88Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
-
12.35University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
-
6.85Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 19.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Emily Doble | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.