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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+8.13vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.60+9.45vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+5.06vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+6.23vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+7.52vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.82vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32+1.12vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.58-1.04vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.36-1.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.07vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.31-3.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-2.55vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.75-7.78vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.50-3.50vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.32-3.71vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.63-9.95vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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11.45College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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8.06Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.23Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.52George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.5Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.29University of South Florida1.320.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Doble | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.