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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.24vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.44+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.80+1.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.10-1.16vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-1.08vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.68-0.15vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.79-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Rhode Island1.3335.9%1st Place
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2.47Salve Regina University0.4630.4%1st Place
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4.76University of Vermont-0.446.5%1st Place
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5.48University of Connecticut-0.804.0%1st Place
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3.84Boston University0.1012.4%1st Place
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4.92Fairfield University-0.435.3%1st Place
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6.85Middlebury College-1.681.4%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University-0.794.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 35.9% | 28.9% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 30.4% | 28.4% | 19.4% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 14.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 12.4% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 8.1% |
| Robin Potter | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 55.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.