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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+6.27vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.40vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+8.90vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+7.35vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62+5.58vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+1.76vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54+2.87vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.42+5.61vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30-1.67vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.03-6.29vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.74-6.78vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-4.72vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-7.14vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.47-8.60vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-0.88vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.92-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.87Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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14.61Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.22Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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16.12University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.98Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 25.6% | 21.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 53.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.