← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.03+4.60vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.54+5.28vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.30+5.23vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.39+7.39vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.74+1.38vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.87vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.05-1.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.73vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.10-0.28vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.32-1.85vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-1.25vs Predicted
-
12Webb Institute1.54-0.71vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.92-0.01vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.37-2.67vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.80vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University0.42-1.26vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-0.22-0.91vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.62-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.6Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.23Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
11.39George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
6.38Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.31Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.27University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
8.15Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.29Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
12.99Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.33Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
14.74Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
16.09University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
-
10.42Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 9.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 24.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 51.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.