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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+8.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.50vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.74+3.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.02vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+2.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.03-0.54vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.30+1.10vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.30vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.54+0.13vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.62-0.88vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-5.38vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-3.33vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-1.21vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.45-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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11.63George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.13Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.79Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College1.450.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 25.3% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 18.4% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.