← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+7.39vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.39+9.64vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.32+5.04vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+3.28vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.30+2.92vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.10+2.72vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.74-0.71vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.05-2.79vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.62+1.48vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.54+1.11vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-1.40vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.55-4.72vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.86vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.03-8.81vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.92-2.01vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.89-2.74vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University0.42-2.37vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-0.22-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
11.64George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.04Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.92Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
6.29Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.21Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.48Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.11Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.14University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.19Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
12.99Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
13.26Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
-
14.63Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
15.83University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 14.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| William Kulas | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 9.3% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 23.6% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 19.6% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.