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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+7.40vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+4.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+1.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+2.90vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.42vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32+0.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+1.44vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54+1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.86vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-0.24vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-4.48vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.62-3.74vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.89-1.87vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-0.94vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.42-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.51Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.85Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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10.86Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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11.76George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.26Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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13.13Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.41Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 9.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 50.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 23.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.