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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.74+5.21vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+3.18vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+6.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.93vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-1.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92+3.09vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-3.23vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.54-1.13vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.38-3.13vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.62-4.77vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-4.65vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.42-2.50vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.09Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.87Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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11.02George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.23Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.5Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 10.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 23.5% | 23.7% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.