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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+7.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+6.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+4.75vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+7.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+2.48vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39+5.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03-1.99vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.74-2.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.55-2.45vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-3.23vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.42+2.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-3.97vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.54-3.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-3.74vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-2.97vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.62-6.61vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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7.48Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.19George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.01Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.85Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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14.66Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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10.32Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.03Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.39Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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15.8University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 26.3% |
| William Kulas | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 9.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 20.0% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.