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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zachary Severson 30.0% 24.8% 18.9% 11.7% 8.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Kenahan 8.6% 9.3% 11.5% 13.6% 12.2% 14.0% 12.7% 9.7% 6.5% 2.1%
Renato Korzinek 9.3% 10.8% 13.6% 16.0% 12.8% 12.6% 10.9% 7.8% 4.7% 1.5%
Jane Matthews 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 8.1% 10.2% 13.5% 13.9% 15.1% 13.5% 6.8%
Greer Page 6.2% 6.5% 8.1% 9.7% 12.2% 12.4% 13.5% 13.1% 13.2% 5.3%
Emil Tullberg 25.7% 24.1% 17.9% 13.5% 10.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan Treat 3.8% 3.7% 5.2% 6.1% 8.2% 10.9% 12.8% 15.4% 19.5% 14.2%
ZIYUE ZHOU 6.0% 8.3% 9.2% 11.2% 13.4% 12.8% 13.9% 12.4% 9.4% 3.4%
Robin Potter 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 5.3% 6.3% 9.1% 15.4% 51.3%
Sean Morrison 2.7% 4.9% 6.0% 7.0% 9.2% 10.2% 11.9% 15.2% 17.5% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.