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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.74+4.98vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+5.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.57vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+6.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+2.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+3.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.62vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.37-1.96vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10-2.74vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.13-3.61vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.62-3.14vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-1.68vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.42-0.83vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-4.91vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-1.25vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute0.07-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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9.86Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.32Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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14.17Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.94Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 17.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 42.6% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 24.3% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.