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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+8.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+4.99vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+7.27vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+3.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.37+2.09vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.74-0.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.52vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+2.75vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-1.64vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.07+5.22vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.84vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.32-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-5.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-1.76vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-4.07vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-8.45vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.42-2.75vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.81Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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15.22Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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12.24Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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14.25Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kulas | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marc Leyk | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 24.2% | 31.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 17.5% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.