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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.49+8.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+5.96vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+7.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53+1.03vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+3.75vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35+3.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+1.87vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86+3.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.93+4.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-3.25vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.91-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11+0.92vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.43-5.08vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.10-8.54vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-7.60vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-9.11vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.24-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.96Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.52Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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5.03Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.36University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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6.45Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.64North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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13.54Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Jack Egan | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 35.0% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 22.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.