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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+7.44vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53+2.17vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+2.52vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+3.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86+4.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-0.47vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.91+2.33vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24+3.86vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.79-3.12vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.35-2.12vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11+0.99vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-7.81vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.93-0.40vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.17-5.65vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.66-8.61vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.53-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.17Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.33North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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13.86Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.6University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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10.35Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 22.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Abe Weston | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 24.0% |
| Jack Egan | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 31.7% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.