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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+4.25vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+8.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.79+4.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+1.65vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10-0.45vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35+1.37vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.91+2.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-3.38vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.93+1.47vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.49-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.86-3.58vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.53-7.15vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-2.75vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.24-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.48Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.29North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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14.47University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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8.85Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.55Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Matias Martin | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 31.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 27.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.