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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+4.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+8.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+3.48vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+3.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+3.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10-0.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.17+2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-0.84vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.91+1.47vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.35-1.46vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+1.95vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.93+1.41vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.50vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.86-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.11-1.88vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.79-9.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-9.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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6.55Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.07Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.47North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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13.95Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.39University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 22.4% |
| Matias Martin | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 30.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Abe Weston | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 25.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.