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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.65vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+7.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+6.42vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+6.06vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.91+6.13vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.25+3.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.81vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.53-3.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.10-2.62vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.11+4.21vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-2.61vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+1.92vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.82-5.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.48vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-6.14vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.79-8.29vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.86-5.46vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.93-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.06Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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11.13North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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4.94Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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14.21University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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13.92Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.54University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 24.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 23.6% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Matias Martin | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.