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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+8.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.52vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.53+2.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+4.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.70vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17+3.17vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.10-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.93+5.58vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.91+1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.06vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.11+2.29vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.86-1.74vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.32-0.97vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.35-5.61vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-7.13vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.66-8.71vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.02Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.17Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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14.58University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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11.47North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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11.26University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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13.03Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Jack Egan | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 18.7% | 30.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 30.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.