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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+7.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+7.14vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+3.60vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53+0.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.35+4.28vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.32+7.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82+0.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-1.76vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.11+4.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-2.60vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.66-4.96vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.86-2.93vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.91-3.85vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-7.07vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.25-7.06vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.93-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.0%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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4.88Stanford University3.530.2%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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13.43Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.09Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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14.17University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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11.15North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Pierce Brindley | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 19.0% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Abe Weston | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 27.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Matias Martin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.