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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.90vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+0.71vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.93+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.62+0.29vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.64-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.96+0.50vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.25-1.69vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.26vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Rhode Island1.1047.1%1st Place
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2.71Salve Regina University0.9722.9%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University-0.936.7%1st Place
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4.29University of Vermont-0.627.5%1st Place
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4.21Boston University-0.648.6%1st Place
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6.5University of Connecticut-1.961.9%1st Place
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5.31Fairfield University-1.253.9%1st Place
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7.74Middlebury College-2.940.8%1st Place
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7.71Bates College-2.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 47.1% | 27.6% | 16.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 22.9% | 27.8% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 23.3% | 12.0% |
| Santiago Pastor | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 13.9% | 28.6% | 41.5% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 27.5% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.