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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+6.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+6.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+5.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.52vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-0.88vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.17+1.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.63vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-0.16vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.45-2.11vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.10-5.54vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.35-3.97vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.91-3.31vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.93-0.54vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.86-4.71vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.32-3.63vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.82Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.03Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.69North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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11.29University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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13.37Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Matias Martin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 31.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 19.9% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.