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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+8.06vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+6.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+3.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.35+5.10vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.11+7.90vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+0.88vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+0.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.93+4.55vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.91+0.09vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.25-2.04vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.32+0.05vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.10-8.03vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.17-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.86-4.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-9.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.29Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.9University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.25Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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14.55University of Texas0.930.0%1st Place
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11.09North Carolina State University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.96Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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13.05Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.88Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Abe Weston | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 24.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Matias Martin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 34.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.