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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.45+6.88vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+6.57vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+5.25vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.31+7.79vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+2.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-1.28vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.54+0.24vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.79-1.78vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90+0.74vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.08+2.98vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.44-3.17vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.86+1.70vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-4.62vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-7.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.51-3.74vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.61-5.07vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-6.61vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.34-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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11.79North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.72Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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7.24Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.98Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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11.26University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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10.93Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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17.28University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 2.4% |
| Chase Decker | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.4% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Reade Decker | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 3.6% |
| Peter Busch | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 27.3% | 7.4% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Igoe | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Tenrreiro | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 7.6% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.