← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.59+6.34vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.23+6.72vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.29+1.84vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.90+5.62vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.35+2.98vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.45+1.59vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.61+3.93vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.10vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.79-2.70vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.51+1.50vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.44-3.17vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.08+1.06vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.54-5.83vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University1.31-2.32vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami2.27-6.70vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.86-2.42vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-6.59vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas-1.34-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.34Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
8.72Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
4.84Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.62Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.98College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.59Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.93Jacksonville University1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.3Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
-
7.83Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
13.06Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
7.17Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.68North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
-
8.3University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
-
13.58University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
-
17.26University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter Busch | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 5.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 27.1% | 6.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Tenrreiro | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 7.0% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.