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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.62+1.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.64+0.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.93-0.43vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.25-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.50vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.25vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Rhode Island1.1044.6%1st Place
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2.69Salve Regina University0.9724.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Vermont-0.627.9%1st Place
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4.21Boston University-0.648.1%1st Place
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4.57Salve Regina University-0.936.6%1st Place
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5.31Fairfield University-1.254.7%1st Place
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6.5University of Connecticut-1.962.1%1st Place
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7.75Middlebury College-2.940.9%1st Place
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7.74Bates College-2.961.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 44.6% | 29.9% | 16.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 24.0% | 27.2% | 22.6% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 7.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Josh Sultanik | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Santiago Pastor | 4.7% | 4.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 26.9% | 24.8% | 10.4% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 28.2% | 41.9% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 28.2% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.