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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.49+10.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+6.40vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+3.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+7.00vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+4.34vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.53+0.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12+1.13vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.33vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.45+1.27vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90+2.22vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.44-0.51vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.33-5.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-7.36vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-5.77vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.61vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.45-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.01Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.4College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.5Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.27Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.22George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.49Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.87Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% |
| William Michels | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 24.3% |
| Peter Busch | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.