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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+5.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.33+4.41vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.49+6.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64+1.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.44+5.08vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12+1.10vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82+1.36vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.01vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.04vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90+2.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-0.53vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-4.85vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.45-3.35vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.45-4.01vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-5.77vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.63vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.23-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.08Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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13.28George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.65Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.99Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% |
| Jack Egan | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| William Michels | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 24.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.