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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+12.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.53+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+8.49vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.45+6.97vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+6.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.23+1.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.66+2.14vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82+0.51vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.33-2.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.06vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-0.68vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-4.82vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-6.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.96vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.56vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.79-7.21vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.32George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.49Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.97Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.79Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 25.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| William Michels | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.