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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.53+5.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+7.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+4.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.33+2.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+1.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-1.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44+2.73vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.49+1.63vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-0.95vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.35vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-3.94vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.45-4.26vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.10-7.82vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.43-6.01vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.73Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.16George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.06Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.74Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| James Kopack | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.