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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+7.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+5.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+8.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+1.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.92vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+3.86vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55+2.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.33-1.96vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90+3.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-1.75vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.45-2.29vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.49-3.63vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.53-8.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.07vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.14vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.10-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.1Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.13George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.71Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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14.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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7.87College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| William Michels | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| James Kopack | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 41.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.