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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+9.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.53+4.51vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+10.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+6.77vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10+3.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.82+3.24vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.49+3.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.47vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.44+1.83vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.45+1.06vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.64-4.94vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-1.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.33-7.95vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.12-7.89vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.23-9.30vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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6.51Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.18George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.83Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.06Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.71Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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14.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Kopack | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.