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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.59+8.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+5.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.43vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+3.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.17vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.74+2.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.39-1.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+2.39vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.44+0.64vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39+3.98vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-0.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-1.11vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.40vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-4.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.25-5.47vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.10-5.79vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.45-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.8Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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13.98George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 32.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| William Kulas | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.