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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+0.95vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+0.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.64+1.33vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.93+0.59vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.25+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.62-1.74vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.96-0.53vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-2.94-0.29vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Rhode Island1.1044.8%1st Place
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2.69Salve Regina University0.9723.8%1st Place
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4.33Boston University-0.647.6%1st Place
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4.59Salve Regina University-0.936.2%1st Place
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5.25Fairfield University-1.255.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Vermont-0.628.5%1st Place
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6.47University of Connecticut-1.962.2%1st Place
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7.71Middlebury College-2.940.9%1st Place
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7.75Bates College-2.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 44.8% | 29.3% | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 23.8% | 27.4% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 7.6% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Santiago Pastor | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Petrush | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 26.9% | 24.1% | 9.8% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 28.9% | 41.9% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 26.5% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.