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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.41vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+7.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.44+6.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.54+5.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.45+4.52vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.25+4.45vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03+0.20vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.39-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+2.08vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.79vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-3.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+0.26vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-2.61vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.35-4.32vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.27-4.66vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.74-7.62vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.39-3.10vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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9.89Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.68College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.38Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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13.9George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.5% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| William Kulas | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 30.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.