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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+9.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+8.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+10.91vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+1.78vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+2.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+0.21vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+3.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.54+1.06vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.59-1.87vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.44-2.03vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-5.66vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-7.16vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.35-5.04vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.45-6.38vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.31vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.25-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.53University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.91George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.78Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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7.34Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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10.2Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 29.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Chase Decker | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 18.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.